An Applied Analysis of Climate Change Indicators in the Eastern High Plateau Regions of Algeria for the Period 1981-2020
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.37375/sujh.v14i1.2783Keywords:
Trend Analysis, Simple Linear Regression, Temperature,, Cumulated Sums,, Constantine Station,, Setif Station.Abstract
The research aims to conduct an applied analysis of climate change indicators in the Eastern Highlands regions of Algeria. This is achieved through the examination of general trends in minimum and maximum temperatures, as well as rainfall quantities for the period 1981-2020 at two stations, Constantine and Setif. The analysis involves studying monthly, seasonal, and annual temperature and rainfall patterns using Simple Linear Regression analysis, T-Test, and Cumulated Sums. The results reveal positive values for the change (b), indicating an increase in the annual average of maximum temperatures at both study stations, with statistical significance ranging between 0.022 in Constantine and less than 0.001 in Setif. Increasing trends are observed in the seasonal average of maximum temperatures across all seasons. In contrast, the annual minimum temperature shows a decreasing trend, particularly in the second period. Statistical significance is observed in the differences for fall, spring, and summer, while winter shows an increasing trend without statistical significance. The results show that a decrease in the seasonal average of minimum temperatures in fall and winter at Setif with statistical significance below 0.05. In spring and summer, the differences indicate a decreasing trend without statistical significance, with a decrease of 0.77°C in the spring and summer averages. Finally, the linear regression analysis indicates positive values for the change (b) in annual rainfall amounts at Constantine, suggesting an increase without statistical significance. In Setif, negative values for the change (b) suggest a decrease in annual rainfall during the study period without statistical significance, displaying varying seasonal trends.
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