أثر الصادرات و الواردات علي النمو الاقتصادي دراسة قياسية علي الاقتصاد الليبي خلال الفترة(1970-2014)
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.37375/esj.v2i1.2023Keywords:
Imports, exports, economic growth, Libya economy, Johansen Co-integration test, vector error correction model (VECM)Abstract
This study examines the impact of exports and imports on economic growth of the Libya economy over the period 1970-2014 by applying Johansen co-integration test and (VECM). The study found that there is co-integration between exports, imports, and economic growth; also, there is a short term relationship between the variables. Imports and exports in preview year have a negative impact on GDP. The reason for the GDP has negatively impacted by exports in the preview year may due to oil price fluctuations.
References
Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), Annual Statistics Bulletin, Different Issues.
Etelawi, A. M., Blatner, K. A., &McCluskey, J. (2017). Crude Oil and the Libyan Economy. International Journal of Economics and Finance, 9(4), 95.
Turan, G., &Karamanaj, B. (2014). An empirical study on import, export and economic growth in Albania. Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies, 3(3), 428.
Adeleye, J. O., Adeteye, O. S., & Adewuyi, M. O. (2015). Impact of international trade on economic growth in Nigeria (1988-2012). International Journal of Financial Research, 6(3), 163.
Pistoresi, B., & Rinaldi, A. (2012). Exports, imports and growth: New evidence on Italy: 1863–2004. Explorations in economic history, 49(2), 241-254.
Konya, L., & Singh, J. P. (2006). Exports, imports and economic growth in India. DISCUSSION PAPER-LA TROBE UNIVERSITY SCHOOL OF BUSINESS SERIES A, 6.
Hamdan, B. S. (2016). The effect of exports and imports on economic growth in the Arab countries: A panel data approach. Journal of Economics Bibliography, 3(1), 100-107.
El Alaoui, A. (2015). Causality and cointegration between export, import and economic growth: evidence from Morocco.
Alhakimi, S., (2018). Export and Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia: The Granger Causality Test. Asian Journal of Economics and Empirical Research, 5(1): 29-35.
Hussain, M. A., &Saaed, A. A. (2014). Relationship between Exports, Imports, and Economic Growth in Saudi Arabia: 1990-2011. Evidence from Co-Integration and Granger Causality Analysis. Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences, 5(3), 364.
Saaed, A. A. J., & Hussain, M. A. (2015). Impact of exports and imports on economic growth: Evidence from Tunisia. Journal of Emerging Trends in Economics and Management Sciences, 6(1), 13. [12]Bakari, S. (2016). Impact of Exports and Imports on Economic Growth in Canada: Empirical Analysis Based on Causality. [13]Bakari, S., &Mabrouki, M. (2016). The Relationship among Exports, Imports and Economic Growth in Turkey.
Li, Y., Chen, Z., & San, C. (2010). Research on the Relationship between Foreign Trade and the GDP Growth of East China—Empirical Analysis Based on Causality. Modern Economy, 1(02), 118.
Ahmad, D., Afzal, M., & Khan, U. G. (2017). Impact of Exports on Economic Growth Empirical Evid