National Governance and Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) in the Arab Banking Sector: A Comparative Econometric Study
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.37375/esj.v9i2.4386Abstract
This study tries to measure and analyze the impact of +- on non-performing loans (NPLs) in the banking sector, while also examining the extent to which governance indicators can explain changes in the quality of banking assets. To achieve this objective, the study employed the Panel EGLS model with robust standard error corrections (White cross-section), using annual panel data from a sample of 13 Arabic countries during the period 2002–2021.The results demonstrated a statistically significant inverse relationship between governance quality and the NPL ratio, indicating that improved governance contributes to reducing credit risk and enhancing the quality of banking assets. The study also revealed a disparity in governance levels between oil-producing and non-oil-producing countries, with oil-producing countries showing a relative advantage. However, no significant differences were found in NPLs between the two groups or across the time periods (before/after 2011). The results confirmed that the impact of governance is cumulative and institutional in nature, with long-term effects. Accordingly, the study recommends improving state governance frameworks by strengthening the rule of law and contract enforcement, combating corruption and conflicts of interest, raising the effectiveness of government institutions, improving the quality of regulatory frameworks, enhancing transparency and accountability, and reducing political interference, thereby contributing to improving the institutional environment of the banking sector, reducing credit risks, and limiting the accumulation of non-performing loans.
References
Abdeljawad, I., Rashid, M., Abu Alia, M., Qushtom, R., Irshaid, M., & Sahyouni, A. (2024). Cushion hypothesis and credit risk: Islamic versus conventional banks from the MENA region. Plos one, 19(7).
Acemoglu, D., Robinson, J. A., & Verdier, T. (2012). Can’t we all be more like Scandinavians? Asymmetric growth and institutions (NBER Working Paper No. 18441).
Ahmed, S. A., Sayed, O. A., & Ahmed, I. E. (2024). The bank lending behaviour: Does non-performing loans matter? Evidence from the top-ten banks in the Arab world. Asian Development Policy Review, 12(2), 100–110.
Alandejani, M., & Asutay, M. (2017). Nonperforming loans in the GCC banking sectors: Does the Islamic finance matter?. Research in International Business and Finance, 42, 832-854.
Albaity, M., Noman, A. H. M., & Mallek, R. S. (2021). Trustworthiness, good governance and risk taking in MENA countries. Borsa Istanbul Review, 21(4), 359– 374
Ally, O. J., Kulindwa, Y. J., & Mataba, L. (2025). Financial technology and credit risk management: the case of non-performing loans in Tanzanian banks. Cogent Economics & Finance, 13(1).
Almaqtari, F. A., Hashid, A., Farhan, N. H. S., Tabash, M. I., & Al-ahdal, W. M. (2022). An empirical examination of the impact of country‐level corporate governance on profitability of Indian banks. International Journal of Finance & Economics, 27(2), 1912-1932.
Almulla, S., Albaity, M., & Al-Tamimi, H. (2025). The effects of ESG and institutional quality on financial stability: Evidence from GCC banks. International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, 15(2), 309-326.
Alnabulsi, K., Kozarević, E., & Hakimi, A. (2022). Assessing the determinants of non-performing loans under financial crisis and health crisis: evidence from the MENA banks. Cogent Economics & Finance, 10(1).
Alodayni, S. (2016). Oil prices, credit risks in banking systems, and macro-financial linkages across GCC oil exporters. International Journal of Financial Studies, 4(4).
Artenisa, B., & Hyrije, A. (2023). The impact of economic growth on non-performing loans in western Balkan countries. InterEULawEast: journal for the international and European law, economics and market integrations., X(2), 117–130.
Asiamah, O., Agyei, S., Bossman, A., Agyei, E., Asucam, J., & Arku-Asare, M. (2022). Natural resource dependence and institutional quality: Evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa. Resources Policy, 79(C).
Avram, C. B., Grosanu, A., & Rachisan, P. R. (2015). Does country-level governance influence auditing and financial reporting standards? Evidence from a cross-country analysis. Current Science, 108(7), 1222-1227.
B, R., Gowrabhathini, J., Choudhary A, D., M, K., Sanjay MK, M., & Varma K, V.S. (2024). Economic indicators and banking practices: Predicting non-performing assets in the financial sector. International Research Journal of Multidisciplinary Scope, 5(3), 420–431.
Baltagi, B. H. (2008). Econometric analysis of panel data (4th ed.). John Wiley & Sons.
Beck, T., Demirgüç-Kunt, A., & Merrouche, O. (2013). Islamic vs. conventional banking: Business model, efficiency and stability. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37(2), 433–447.
Bergougui, B., & Murshed, S. M. (2020). New evidence on the oil-democracy nexus utilising the Varieties of Democracy data. Resources Policy, 69(C).
Bhattacharyya, S., & Hodler, R. (2014). Do natural resource revenues hinder financial development? The role of political institutions. World Development, Elsevier, 57(C), 101-113.
Boudriga, A., Taktak, N. B., & Jellouli, S. (2010). Bank specific, business and institutional environment determinants of banks nonperforming loans: Evidence from MENA countries (Working Paper No. 547). Economic Research Forum.
Büyükoğlu, B., Şit, A., & Ekşi, İ. H. (2021). Governance matters on non-performing loans: Evidence from emerging markets. PSL Quarterly Review, 74(296), 75–91.
Chinoda, T., & Kapingura, F. (2023). The impact of digital financial inclusion and bank competition on bank stability in Sub-Saharan Africa. Economies, 11(1), 15.
Çiçekçi, C., & Gaygısız, E. (2023). Procyclicality of fiscal policy in oil-rich countries: Roles of resource funds and institutional quality. Resources Policy, 85(PB).
Cule, M., & Fulton, M. E. (2013). Corporate governance and subjective well-being. Applied Economics Letters, 20(4), 364–367.
Dao, T.T., & Phan, T.T. (2020). Empirical analysis on non-performing loans of listed banks in Vietnam. European Journal of Business and Management, 12(6).
Ekinci, R., & Poyraz, G. (2019). The effect of credit risk on financial performance of deposit banks in Turkey. Procedia Computer Science, 158, 979–987.
Epaphra, M., & Kombe, A. H. (2017). Institutions and economic growth in Africa: Evidence from panel estimation. Business and Economic Horizons, 13(5), 570–590.
Epure, M., & Lafuente, E. (2015). Monitoring bank performance in the presence of risk. Journal of Productivity Analysis, 44, 265–281.
Erdas, M. L., & Ezanoglu, Z. (2022). How do bank-specific factors impact non-performing loans: Evidence from G20 countries? Journal of Central Banking Theory and Practice, Central bank of Montenegro, 11(2), 97-122.
Espinoza, M. R. A., & Prasad, A. (2010). Nonperforming loans in the GCC banking system and their macroeconomic effects. International Monetary Fund. https://books.google.com.ly/books?id=KpUYEAAAQBAJ&hl=ar&source=gbs_navlinks_s
Fajariyanto, M. B., & Wasiaturrahma, W. (2024). The effect of institutional quality and macroeconomics variables on non-performing loans in developing countries. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Terapan, 9(2), 185–200.
Farne, M., & Vouldis, A. (2024). Do retail-oriented banks have less non-performing loans? The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 29(C).
Festus, I. O. (2025). Corporate governance mechanisms and non-performing loans of publicly listed deposit money banks in Nigeria. International Journal of Social Science and Human Research, 8(1), 577–582
Foglia, M. (2022). Non-performing loans and macroeconomics factors: The Italian case, Risks, 10 (1), 1-13.
Ghosh, P., Kamarudin, F., & Kharuddin, S. (2025). Impact of country governance on non-performing loans in lower-middle-, upper-middle- and high-income countries. Business and Economic Research, 15(2), 62-85.
Giammanco, M., Gitto, L., & Ofria, F. (2022). Government failures and non-performing loans in Asian countries. Journal of Economic Studies, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, 50(6), 1158-1170.
Gjeçi, A., & Marinč, M. (2018). Corruption and non-performing loans. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3263966 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3263966.
Goyal, S., Singhal, N., Mishra, N., & Verma, S. K. (2023). The impact of macroeconomic and institutional environment on NPL of developing and developed countries. Future Business Journal, 9.
Granja, J., & Leuz, C. (2024). The death of a regulator: Strict supervision, bank lending, and business activity, Journal of Financial Economics, 158(C).
Hakimi, A., Saidi, H., & Adili, L. (2025). Does financial inclusion affect non-performing loans and liquidity risk in the MENA region? A comparative analysis between GCC and non-GCC countries. Economies, 13(5), 143.
Hakimi, A., Saidi, H., & Saidi, S. (2025). Do board characteristics affect non-performing loans? GCC vs. non-GCC insights. International Journal of Financial Studies, 13, 101.
Ika, B.C., Burhan, M., & Haryanto, S. (2025). The effect of good corporate governance on financial performance through risk management. Journal of Economics, Finance and Management Studies.
International Monetary Fund. (2022). Regional Economic Outlook, April 2022, Middle East and Central Asia: Divergent recoveries in turbulent times. International Monetary Fund. https://doi.org/10.5089/9798400209093.086
Jabbouri, I., & Naili, M. (2019). Determinants of nonperforming loans in emerging Markets: Evidence from the MENA region. Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies, 22(4).
Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A., & Mastruzzi, M. (2011). The worldwide governance indicators: Methodology and analytical issues. Hague Journal on the Rule of Law, 3(2), 220–246.
Kaufmann, D., Kraay, A., & Mastruzzi, M. (2011). The Worldwide Governance Indicators: Methodology and analytical issues. Hague Journal on the Rule of Law, 3, 220–246.
Kharel, R. S., & Pokhrel, D. R. (2012). Does Nepal’s financial structure matter for economic growth? NRB Economic Review, 24(2), 31–46.
Kjosevski, J., & Petkovski, M. (2021). Macroeconomic and bank-specific determinants of non-performing loans: The case of Baltic States. Empirica, Springer; Austrian Institute for Economic Research; Austrian Economic Association, 48(4), 1009-1028.
Klein, N. (2013). Non-performing loans in CESEE: Determinants and impact on macroeconomic performance. International Monetary Fund, Working Papers 2013/072.
La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. (2002). Investor protection and corporate valuation. The Journal of Finance, 57(3), 1147–1170.
Lee, Y. Y., Yahya, M. H. D. H., Habibullah, M. S., & Ashhari, Z. M. (2020). Non-performing loans in European Union: Country governance dimensions. Journal of Financial Economic Policy, 12(2), 209–226.
Liou, Y. M., & Musgrave, P. (2014). Refining the oil curse: country-level evidence from exogenous variations in resource income. Comparative political studies, 47(11), 1584-1610.
Mahyoub, M., & Said, R. M. (2021). Factors influencing non-performing loans: Empirical evidence from commercial banks in Malaysia. Research Journal of Business and Management, 8(3), 160–166.
Majani, S. I. (2022). The relationship between credit risk management and financial performance of commercial banks listed at the Nairobi Securities Exchange, Kenya. International Journal of Managerial Studies and Research, 10(5), 88-126.
Mamoon, A., Kwabi, F., Ezeani, E., & Hu, W. (2025). The impact of central bank independence and transparency on banks' non-performing loans and economic stability'. Journal of Banking Regulation, 26(1), 25-40.
Mohammadi, H., Shahnoushi, N., & Ronaghi, M. (2017). The effects of governance indicators on per capita income, investment and employment in selected MENA countries. Iranian Economic Review, 21(2), 211–229.
Morakinyo, A. E., & Sibanda, M. (2016). The determinants of non-performing loans in the MINT economies. Journal of Economics and Behavioral Studies, 8(5), 39–55.
Msomi, T. S. (2022). Factors affecting non-performing loans in commercial banks of selected West African countries. Banks and Bank Systems, 17(2).
Mukhamediyev, B., Khitakhunov, A., & Temerbulatova, Z. (2025). Resource curse and Dutch disease: Economic, institutional, and social impacts in perspective. Eurasian Research Journal, 7(2), 115-133.
Naili, M., & Lahrichi, Y. (2022). Banks’ credit risk, systematic determinants and specific factors: Recent evidence from emerging markets. Heliyon, 8(2).
Nathan, S., Ibrahim, M. and Tom, M. (2020), Determinants of non-performing loans in Uganda’s commercial banking sector, African Journal of Economic Review, 8(1), 26-47.
Ngobo, P. V., & Fouda, M. (2012). Is ‘Good’ governance good for business? A cross-national analysis of firms in African countries. Journal of World Business, 47(3), 435-449.
Nguyen, P. D. (2025). Non-performing loans and bank profitability: evidence from Vietnam. Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, 18(2), 399-419.
Nurdin, M. I., Andriana, I., & Mu’izzuddin, M. (2024). Faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi risiko bank pada bank komersial di ASEAN. Al-Kharaj: Jurnal Ekonomi, Keuangan & Bisnis Syariah, 6(5), 3440–3452.
O’Connor, K. J., Blanco, L. R., & Nugent, J. B. (2018). Does oil really curse democracy? A long-run time-series analysis of 127 countries. Resources Policy, 57, 264–277.
Ofria, F., & Mucciardi, M. (2021). Government failures and non-performing loans in European countries: A spatial approach. Journal of Economic Studies, 49(5), 876–887.
Ogunsola, O. A. (2025). Bank-specific factors and non-performing loans in the banking sector: Comparative analysis of the Canadian and United States banking sector. International Journal of Innovative Research and Scientific Studies, 8(3), 4545–4555.
Ozbek, C., Ozer, P., Tunca, S., & Balcioglu, Y. (2025). The impact of countries institutional characteristics on bank performance. International Journal of Accounting and Economics Studies, 12(3), 10-28.
Ozili, P. (2025). Bank non-performing loans research around the world. Asian Journal of Economics and Banking, 9(3), 437–462.
Ozili, P. K. (2021). Financial inclusion and legal system quality: Are they correlated? Journal of Money and Business, 1(2), 84–101.
Ozili, P. K. (2024). Sustainable development and bank non-performing loans: Are they correlated? Arab Gulf Journal of Scientific Research, 42(3), 551–565.
Pancotto, L., Ap Gwilym, O., & Williams, J. (2024). The evolution and determinants of the non-performing loan burden in Italian banking. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 84, 102306.
Peric. BS., & Konjusak N. (2017). How did rapid credit growth cause non-performing loans in the CEE countries? South East Eur J Econ Bus. 12(2), 73–84
Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross-section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265–312.
Peykani P, Sargolzaei M, Oprean-Stan C, Kamyabfar H, Reghabi A (2025) The effect of macroeconomic shocks on non-performing loans and credit risk in the Iranian banking system using time-varying parameter vector autoregressions. PLoS One 20(8): e0329587.
Pop, I. D., Cepoi, C. O., & Anghel, D. G. (2018). Liquidity-threshold effect in non-performing loans. Finance Research Letters, 27(C), 124–128.
Rachisan, P. R., Bota-Avram, C., & Grosanu, A. (2017). Investor protection and country-level governance: Cross-country empirical panel data evidence. Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, 30(1), 806–817. Touny, M. A., & Shehab, M. A. (2015).
Rehman, A., Mehmood, W., & Al Gharaibeh, F. (2025). The nexus between country governance and non-performing loans in South Asian countries. Discover Sustainability, 6.
Safitri, R., Sulastri, & Andriana, I. (2023). The Influence of Operational Costs on Operating Income and Interest Rates on Non-PerformingiLoans in Banking Companies listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. Ilomata International Journal of Tax and Accounting, 4(1), 771-781.
Salas, M., Lamothe, P., Delgado, E., & Rodríguez, J. (2024). Determinants of non-performing loans: A global data analysis. Computational Economics, 64, 2695–2716.
Saliba, C., Farmanesh, P., & Athari, S. A. (2023). Does country risk impact the banking sectors’ non-performing loans? Evidence from BRICS emerging economies. Financial Innovation, 9(1), 1-30.
Sarker, S. K. (2019). A comparative analysis on non-performing loans (NPLs) in the banking sectors of Bangladesh. International Journal of Research - Granthaalayah, 7(1).
SenGupta, S. (2020). An empirical analysis on the impact of non-performing loans on investment and economic growth and the role of political governance. Indian Journal of Economics and Development.
Sinoi, E. A. (2025). A qualitative and quantitative approach to the drivers of economic growth in the EU. Panoeconomicus, 72(3), 355–390.
Szarowska, I. (2018). Effect of macroeconomic determinants on non-performing loans in Central and Eastern European countries. International Journal of Monetary Economics and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, 11(1), 20-35.
Tölö, E., & Virén, M. (2021). How much do non-performing loans hinder loan growth in Europe? European Economic Review, 136(C).
Touny, M. A. & Shehab, M. A. (2015). Macroeconomic determinants of non-performing loans: An empirical study of some Arab countries. American Journal of Economics and Business Administration, 7(1), 11–22.
Tsekpo, S. P., & Wahua, L. (2023). Corporate governance and banks’ capital adequacy in Gambia: The moderating impact of politics. Journal of Social Sciences and Management Studies, 2(4), 1–14.
Umar, G., Tijjani, M. S., & Salisu, A. (2022). Effect of credit risk on financial performance of listed deposit money banks in Nigeria. Gusau International Journal of Management and Social Sciences, 5(1), 49–65.
World Bank, & International Monetary Fund. (2005). Global Monitoring Report 2005: Millennium Development Goals: From consensus to momentum. International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gmr/2005/eng/pdf/gmr.pdf.
World Bank. (1999). Governance and development. Oxford University Press.https://documents.worldbank.org/en/publication/documents-reports/documentdetail/604951468739447676/governance-and-development.
World Bank. (2017). World Development Report 2017: Governance and the law. World Bank. https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2017.
World Bank. (2022). Resolving bank asset distress: A World Bank approach. World Bank. https://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/wdr2022/brief/chapter-2-resolving-bank-asset-distress.
World Bank. (2025). Worldwide Governance Indicators, 2025 revision. World Bank Grouphttps://www.worldbank.org/en/publication/worldwide-governance-indicators?utm_source=chatgpt.com





























